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The BTC Cycle Top
Checklist.

The 8 on-chain indicators that called every Bitcoin cycle top since 2013 — with current trigger thresholds and plain-English commentary. Delivered to your inbox instantly.

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8-indicator confluence framework with live trigger zones
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2013 · 17 · 21 · 25
Cycle tops called
+7,602%
Backtested ROI
8
On-chain indicators
4M+
Content views
What's inside

8 indicators. One score.

No single indicator is reliable on its own. Confluence is the signal. When 5+ of these flash "top zone" at the same time, the cycle is statistically near peak.

1
CBBI
Trigger: 85+ = top zone. The most reliable single cycle gauge.
2
Pi Cycle Top
Trigger: 111-DMA × 350-DMA cross. When it fires, it's deadly accurate.
3
MVRV Z-Score
Trigger: 5+ = overvalued. Measures cost basis vs market.
4
Puell Multiple
Trigger: 4+ = miner sell pressure. Spikes at every cycle top.
5
Rainbow Chart
Trigger: Red zone. Log-regression overvaluation band.
6
2-Year MA Multiplier
Trigger: 5× line. Slow-moving but extremely reliable.
7
Fear & Greed
Trigger: 90+ extreme greed sustained. Pure sentiment confirmation.
8
Google Trends
Trigger: 80+. When everyone's googling "how to buy bitcoin."

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