Learn the indicators and strategies that 60+ traders use to time Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms.
The complete guide to timing a Bitcoin cycle exit — why single indicators fail, how confluence signals work together, and the staged profit-taking framework LiftOffr uses to read all 8 metrics at once. Start here.
Reading time: ~12 min | Difficulty: Beginner | ✓ Published | ⭐ Start here
Understand the on-chain metric that predicts Bitcoin cycle peaks. Learn when MVRV Z-Score signals overvaluation and how to use it with other indicators. Real thresholds, historical examples, and actionable trading signals.
Reading time: ~10 min | Difficulty: Intermediate | ✓ Published
How the 111-day MA crossing 2× the 350-day MA has signaled every Bitcoin cycle top since 2013 — and why the April 2021 early fire proves you can't use it alone. The math, the track record, and how LiftOffr uses it in confluence.
Reading time: ~10 min | Difficulty: Beginner | ✓ Published
CBBI combines ~9 on-chain metrics into a single 0–100 score. Above 85 = top territory. Learn how the composite works, what it read at every cycle peak, and why a blended score beats any single indicator.
Reading time: ~10 min | Difficulty: Beginner | ✓ Published
The Puell Multiple measures miner revenue vs. its yearly average. Above 4 = historically near a top. Learn the formula, why halvings distort it, and why November 2021 showed what happens when Puell doesn't confirm the top.
Reading time: ~9 min | Difficulty: Intermediate | ✓ Published
The logarithmic regression bands that show whether Bitcoin is in "fire sale" or "maximum bubble" territory. Learn what each color means, how it read at every cycle top, and why it's context — not a trading signal.
Reading time: ~9 min | Difficulty: Beginner | ✓ Published
When Bitcoin exceeds 5× its 2-year moving average, it has historically been near a cycle top. Learn how this mean reversion tool works, why the signal compresses in larger-cap markets, and how it pairs with MVRV and Puell.
Reading time: ~9 min | Difficulty: Intermediate | ✓ Published
The 0–100 sentiment score built from volatility, momentum, social media, dominance, and Google Trends. Learn the zones, what it read at the 2021 tops, and why it's a lagging temperature gauge — not a leading indicator.
Reading time: ~9 min | Difficulty: Beginner | ✓ Published
When retail searches for "buy Bitcoin" spike, the cycle is usually close to topping. Learn which search terms to watch, how Trends data read at the 2017 and 2021 peaks, and why it's a confirmatory signal — not a trigger.
Reading time: ~8 min | Difficulty: Beginner | ✓ Published
A full breakdown of how all 8 indicators performed at every cycle peak — including the October 2025 "apathy top" ($124,824) where Pi Cycle and Fear & Greed both missed but composite confluence still flagged it.
Reading time: ~8 min | Difficulty: Beginner | ✓ Published