Every zone crossing the LiftOffr Score has ever produced, with the date and what Bitcoin actually did 30, 90 and 180 days later beside each one. Sep 2011 to Nov 2025, nothing omitted.
| Horizon | BTC simply higher | Right about direction |
| +30 days | 35 of 64 | 21 of 46 · 46% |
| +90 days | 35 of 64 | 21 of 46 · 46% |
| +180 days | 37 of 64 | 25 of 46 · 54% |
35 of 64 is not a hit rate and I am not going to relabel it as one. That left column counts every crossing after which Bitcoin simply rose, and the 64 mix opposing signal types — a rise after an EXIT crossing is a miss, not a hit. The directional column is the honest one: 46% at 30 and 90 days, 54% at 180. None of the three is distinguishable from chance. 21 and 25 out of 46 lie the same distance either side of an even split, so they carry the identical two-sided p-value of 0.66; at this sample size you would need 31 of 46 — 67% — before the result cleared the usual 5% threshold. So the 54% is not the good news it looks like next to the 46%, and I would rather say that than let the longer horizon carry an implication it has not earned. It is the headline on this page rather than a footnote, because a record with the losses taken out is not a record. Here is what it does and does not mean. “Right about direction” scores an EXIT or WARNING crossing as correct if BTC was lower afterwards and an ACCUMULATION crossing as correct if it was higher; the 18 NEUTRAL crossings are excluded because they point nowhere, which leaves 46 of the 64. A rise after an exit signal is a miss, so the raw “BTC was higher” column is not a scoreboard and neither number is a win rate or an accuracy claim.
On the zone names in this log. These 64 rows were generated under the earlier five-band naming, where NEUTRAL covered everything from 30 to 70. The live Score now names six bands — exit 85+, warning 70–85, mid-cycle 50–70, re-accumulation 30–50, accumulation 15–30, deep accumulation below 15 — which are the ones defined on /score and used everywhere else. The band boundaries at 85, 70, 30 and 15 are unchanged, so no crossing in this log moves and no count on this page changes; the only difference is that the old NEUTRAL interval is now split in two at 50. No crossing here sits between 32 and 67, so nothing in the log lands in the part that was split. The rows are left with the names they were recorded under rather than relabelled after the fact. This is a multi-month cycle-zone tool, so a 30-day directional test is a poor proxy for what it is built to do — but it is the test an outsider would run first, so it belongs at the top of the page rather than nowhere on it.
This is the record. What it does not tell you is what you will do when the Score next moves — and deciding that in the moment is the expensive part. The $29 plan is the nine levels I have written down for my own position, plus a worksheet that turns your stack size into your own ladder. 30 days to read it; if it isn’t worth $29 I refund it, no form and no reason needed.
See what’s in the plan — $29, once →A zone model marks the transitions, not the tops. Across fourteen years it produces 64 of them — some resolve within weeks, some take a cycle to play out, and some mark a zone the market then re-tests. That spread is how a zone model behaves by design. Every one is dated below with what Bitcoin did next.
A crossing counts only after the score holds the new zone for 7 straight days — the date shown is the first day of that hold. BTC % is the change from the crossing-day price.
The LiftOffr Score updates daily from nine on-chain cycle indicators. The course teaches what each zone means and what to do about it — the same framework shown on this page.
Get the plan — $29 once →One-time payment, no subscription. Or see the live score →
Zone events reconstructed by applying the current LiftOffr Score formula (V7-weighted CBBI components, colintalkscrypto.com data) to historical daily values. The 64 confirmed crossings below span Sep 23, 2011 through Nov 30, 2025; the Score has not crossed a zone boundary since. Backfilled rows are model output computed after the fact, not calls made at the time. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is educational content, not financial advice. Trading carries risk — only invest what you can afford to lose.