Bitcoin 2-Year MA Multiplier today
Last updated August 6, 2026 ·
Also called 2YMA / 2-year moving average multiplier · Weighted 5% of the LiftOffr Score
45
2-Year MA Multiplier · 0-100 normalised
Bitcoin $64,212 · Today's reading sits 46% of the way from the average cycle-bottom reading (2) to the average cycle-top reading (94).
The 2-Year MA Multiplier plots price against its 730-day moving average and against that average multiplied by five. Historically, price below the 2-year MA has marked accumulation zones and price above the 5× line has marked distribution zones. It is the simplest cycle indicator that has kept working.
What it actually measures
Where price sits between its two-year mean and five times that mean.
How it is calculated
Price versus the 730-day MA and versus 5 × the 730-day MA, normalised 0-100.
Want the long-form explainer rather than the live number? Read the full 2-Year MA Multiplier breakdown →
What it read at every cycle top and bottom
This is the table that does not exist anywhere else. Every value is the 2-Year MA Multiplier reading
on the day of that cycle turn, pulled from the same daily series the number above comes from.
| Cycle turn | Date | BTC close | 2-Year MA Multiplier (0-100) |
|---|
| 2013 top | 2013-11-30 | $1,119 | 98 |
| 2017 top | 2017-12-17 | $19,250 | 100 |
| 2021 top | 2021-11-10 | $64,756 | 81 |
| 2025 top | 2025-10-06 | $124,824 | 96 |
| 2015 bottom | 2015-01-14 | $176 | 0 |
| 2018 bottom | 2018-12-15 | $3,185 | 6 |
| 2022 bottom | 2022-11-21 | $15,778 | 0 |
Readings are normalised 0-100. Bitcoin closes are the same day's price from the
source dataset. Cycle turn dates are daily-close highs and lows.
Average reading at a cycle top: 94.
Average at a cycle bottom: 2.
The weakest top signal it ever gave was the 2021 top at 81;
the highest it ever read at a bottom was the 2018 bottom at 6.
Where it has been wrong
It is slow by construction — a two-year average takes months to reflect a regime change, so it confirms rather than warns. It also has no opinion on how long price stays under the line, which is the part that hurts.
This section is on every indicator page here on purpose. An indicator sold as infallible is
being sold, not explained — and the gap between "it called three tops" and "it will call the
next one" is where people lose money.
The other eight
No single indicator survives contact with a real cycle. These are the other components of the
LiftOffr Score, live right now:
The reading tells you where. It doesn't tell you what to do.
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Questions
What is the 2-Year MA Multiplier reading today?
As of August 6, 2026 the 2-Year MA Multiplier reads 45 out of 100 on the normalised scale LiftOffr uses, with Bitcoin at $64,212. The number on this page updates daily.
What did the 2-Year MA Multiplier read at the last Bitcoin top?
At the October 2025 top it read 96. Every cycle top and bottom since 2013 is in the table on this page, taken from the same daily series.
Has the 2-Year MA Multiplier ever been wrong?
It is slow by construction — a two-year average takes months to reflect a regime change, so it confirms rather than warns. It also has no opinion on how long price stays under the line, which is the part that hurts.
Is the 2-Year MA Multiplier enough on its own?
No. Every indicator on this site has a failure mode, which is why LiftOffr weights nine of them into one score rather than trusting any single one. The live composite is at liftoffr.com/cycle.
Read this first. Everything on this page is educational market information, not
financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. I am not a registered
investment adviser. Indicator readings are historical measurements, not predictions — every one
of them has been wrong before, which is why each page here has a section saying exactly how.
Bitcoin can fall further than you expect and stay there longer than you expect. Do your own
research and never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
© 2026 LiftOffr · Educational content only. Not financial advice.
Indicator data derived from the public CBBI dataset.