Pi Cycle Top indicator today
Last updated August 6, 2026 ·
Also called 111DMA / 350DMA×2 cross · Weighted 10% of the LiftOffr Score
39
Pi Cycle Top Indicator · 0-100 normalised
Bitcoin $64,212 · Today's reading sits 41% of the way from the average cycle-bottom reading (10) to the average cycle-top reading (81).
Pi Cycle fires when Bitcoin's 111-day moving average crosses above twice its 350-day moving average. That cross has landed within three days of the 2013, 2017 and 2021 cycle highs. It is a single binary signal, not a gauge — the reading here is how close the two averages are to crossing.
What it actually measures
How close short-term momentum is to a historically extreme stretch over the long trend.
How it is calculated
111-day MA versus 2 × 350-day MA; proximity of the cross normalised 0-100.
Want the long-form explainer rather than the live number? Read the full Pi Cycle Top Indicator breakdown →
What it read at every cycle top and bottom
This is the table that does not exist anywhere else. Every value is the Pi Cycle Top Indicator reading
on the day of that cycle turn, pulled from the same daily series the number above comes from.
| Cycle turn | Date | BTC close | Pi Cycle Top Indicator (0-100) |
|---|
| 2013 top | 2013-11-30 | $1,119 | 95 |
| 2017 top | 2017-12-17 | $19,250 | 100 |
| 2021 top | 2021-11-10 | $64,756 | 58 |
| 2025 top | 2025-10-06 | $124,824 | 71 |
| 2015 bottom | 2015-01-14 | $176 | 0 |
| 2018 bottom | 2018-12-15 | $3,185 | 17 |
| 2022 bottom | 2022-11-21 | $15,778 | 11 |
Readings are normalised 0-100. Bitcoin closes are the same day's price from the
source dataset. Cycle turn dates are daily-close highs and lows.
Average reading at a cycle top: 81.
Average at a cycle bottom: 10.
The weakest top signal it ever gave was the 2021 top at 58;
the highest it ever read at a bottom was the 2018 bottom at 17.
Where it has been wrong
It did not cross at the 2025 top. Three hits and a miss is a small sample, and a signal that only fires at the very top gives you no information at all for the other 1,400 days of the cycle.
This section is on every indicator page here on purpose. An indicator sold as infallible is
being sold, not explained — and the gap between "it called three tops" and "it will call the
next one" is where people lose money.
The other eight
No single indicator survives contact with a real cycle. These are the other components of the
LiftOffr Score, live right now:
The reading tells you where. It doesn't tell you what to do.
My Bear Market Buy Plan is the nine-tier ladder I'm actually executing against these
indicators — every level, every trigger, timestamped receipts when a tier fires.
$29 once, no subscription.
Get my plan — $29, once →
Questions
What is the Pi Cycle Top Indicator reading today?
As of August 6, 2026 the Pi Cycle Top Indicator reads 39 out of 100 on the normalised scale LiftOffr uses, with Bitcoin at $64,212. The number on this page updates daily.
What did the Pi Cycle Top Indicator read at the last Bitcoin top?
At the October 2025 top it read 71. Every cycle top and bottom since 2013 is in the table on this page, taken from the same daily series.
Has the Pi Cycle Top Indicator ever been wrong?
It did not cross at the 2025 top. Three hits and a miss is a small sample, and a signal that only fires at the very top gives you no information at all for the other 1,400 days of the cycle.
Is the Pi Cycle Top Indicator enough on its own?
No. Every indicator on this site has a failure mode, which is why LiftOffr weights nine of them into one score rather than trusting any single one. The live composite is at liftoffr.com/cycle.
Read this first. Everything on this page is educational market information, not
financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. I am not a registered
investment adviser. Indicator readings are historical measurements, not predictions — every one
of them has been wrong before, which is why each page here has a section saying exactly how.
Bitcoin can fall further than you expect and stay there longer than you expect. Do your own
research and never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
© 2026 LiftOffr · Educational content only. Not financial advice.
Indicator data derived from the public CBBI dataset.