RHODL Ratio today
Last updated August 6, 2026 ·
Also called Realised HODL Ratio · Weighted 20% of the LiftOffr Score
41
RHODL Ratio · 0-100 normalised
Bitcoin $64,212 · Today's reading sits 42% of the way from the average cycle-bottom reading (2) to the average cycle-top reading (95).
The RHODL Ratio compares the value held by coins that moved in the last week against coins that last moved one to two years ago. When new money floods in and old holders sell, the ratio spikes — which is what a cycle top looks like from on-chain. It has flagged every major Bitcoin top since 2013.
What it actually measures
Whether the coins changing hands are new speculative money or long-held supply waking up. Tops happen when both are true at once.
How it is calculated
The 1-week RHODL band divided by the 1-2 year band, multiplied by the age of the market and by realised-cap ratio. CBBI normalises the result to 0-100.
What it read at every cycle top and bottom
This is the table that does not exist anywhere else. Every value is the RHODL Ratio reading
on the day of that cycle turn, pulled from the same daily series the number above comes from.
| Cycle turn | Date | BTC close | RHODL Ratio (0-100) |
|---|
| 2013 top | 2013-11-30 | $1,119 | 100 |
| 2017 top | 2017-12-17 | $19,250 | 100 |
| 2021 top | 2021-11-10 | $64,756 | 93 |
| 2025 top | 2025-10-06 | $124,824 | 89 |
| 2015 bottom | 2015-01-14 | $176 | 0 |
| 2018 bottom | 2018-12-15 | $3,185 | 2 |
| 2022 bottom | 2022-11-21 | $15,778 | 3 |
Readings are normalised 0-100. Bitcoin closes are the same day's price from the
source dataset. Cycle turn dates are daily-close highs and lows.
Average reading at a cycle top: 95.
Average at a cycle bottom: 2.
The weakest top signal it ever gave was the 2025 top at 89;
the highest it ever read at a bottom was the 2022 bottom at 3.
Where it has been wrong
It is a top-finder, not a bottom-finder. In a long grind lower it can sit near zero for a year while price keeps falling, so a low reading tells you the top is behind you, not that the bottom is in.
This section is on every indicator page here on purpose. An indicator sold as infallible is
being sold, not explained — and the gap between "it called three tops" and "it will call the
next one" is where people lose money.
The other eight
No single indicator survives contact with a real cycle. These are the other components of the
LiftOffr Score, live right now:
The reading tells you where. It doesn't tell you what to do.
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Questions
What is the RHODL Ratio reading today?
As of August 6, 2026 the RHODL Ratio reads 41 out of 100 on the normalised scale LiftOffr uses, with Bitcoin at $64,212. The number on this page updates daily.
What did the RHODL Ratio read at the last Bitcoin top?
At the October 2025 top it read 89. Every cycle top and bottom since 2013 is in the table on this page, taken from the same daily series.
Has the RHODL Ratio ever been wrong?
It is a top-finder, not a bottom-finder. In a long grind lower it can sit near zero for a year while price keeps falling, so a low reading tells you the top is behind you, not that the bottom is in.
Is the RHODL Ratio enough on its own?
No. Every indicator on this site has a failure mode, which is why LiftOffr weights nine of them into one score rather than trusting any single one. The live composite is at liftoffr.com/cycle.
Read this first. Everything on this page is educational market information, not
financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. I am not a registered
investment adviser. Indicator readings are historical measurements, not predictions — every one
of them has been wrong before, which is why each page here has a section saying exactly how.
Bitcoin can fall further than you expect and stay there longer than you expect. Do your own
research and never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
© 2026 LiftOffr · Educational content only. Not financial advice.
Indicator data derived from the public CBBI dataset.